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AHT: 00CSV

09 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Barrow
22.7%
Draw
55.3%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

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vs
1.74

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).