Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Monza
27.1%
Draw
22.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Monza
vs
1.02
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).