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DHT: 20CSV

20 Dec 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
Zaragoza
25.9%
Draw
53.7%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Zaragoza

vs
1.50

Levante

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).