Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Paris FC
21.9%
Draw
52.7%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Paris FC
vs
1.81
Rennes
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).