Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
Willenhall Town
16.1%
Draw
68.7%
Gainsborough Trinity
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Willenhall Town
vs
2.66
Gainsborough Trinity
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).