Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.6%
Venezia
18.6%
Draw
7.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Venezia
vs
0.60
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
5-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).