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DHT: 22CSV

23 Oct 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Mechelen
25.4%
Draw
28.8%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Mechelen

vs
1.28

Waregem

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).