Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Gateshead
25.1%
Draw
44.9%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Gateshead
vs
1.74
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).