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AHT: 11CSV

22 Oct 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Hansa Rostock
30.0%
Draw
46.9%
Holstein Kiel

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Hansa Rostock

vs
1.38

Holstein Kiel

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).