Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.0%
Montrose
19.3%
Draw
72.7%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Montrose
vs
2.07
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.7%
0-1
14.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
2.3%
0-5
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).