Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Empoli
21.9%
Draw
65.3%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Empoli
vs
1.78
Roma
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).