Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Fulham
19.5%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Fulham
vs
0.88
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).