Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Aldershot
23.2%
Draw
38.1%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Aldershot
vs
1.82
Torquay
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).