Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Freiburg
21.9%
Draw
15.0%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Freiburg
vs
0.90
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).