Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Ipswich
26.1%
Draw
20.6%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Ipswich
vs
0.95
Brentford
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).