Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Metz
20.4%
Draw
33.1%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Metz
vs
1.77
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS72.6%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).