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01 Apr 2023 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Ionikos
32.8%
Draw
32.5%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Ionikos

vs
1.01

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).