Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Stockport
26.7%
Draw
28.3%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Stockport
vs
0.92
Bolton
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).