Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Barnsley
19.0%
Draw
23.5%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Barnsley
vs
1.32
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).