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04 Jan 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.9%
Woking
32.2%
Draw
25.9%
Chorley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Woking

vs
0.86

Chorley

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
14.2%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).