Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Ascoli
32.6%
Draw
39.7%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Ascoli
vs
1.15
Palermo
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).