Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Numancia
28.7%
Draw
44.5%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Numancia
vs
1.25
Elche
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).