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03 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.5%
Aldershot
25.0%
Draw
18.5%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Aldershot

vs
0.93

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).