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AHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.8%
Reading
22.4%
Draw
62.8%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Reading

vs
2.00

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).