Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Moreirense
16.7%
Draw
10.9%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Moreirense
vs
0.73
AVS
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).