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DHT: 00CSV

20 Oct 2023 · 20:00

Lens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Le Havre
24.7%
Draw
60.2%
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Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Le Havre

vs
1.50

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Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.2%
0-2
14.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
0-4
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).