Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
RB Leipzig
24.0%
Draw
18.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
RB Leipzig
vs
0.95
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).