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11 Feb 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.7%
Nottingham Forest
32.7%
Draw
22.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Nottingham Forest

vs
0.83

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).