Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Ternana
21.2%
Draw
11.6%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Ternana
vs
0.76
Lecco
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).