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17 Mar 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
Cercle Brugge
18.6%
Draw
15.6%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.16

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).