Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Exeter
28.4%
Draw
23.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Exeter
vs
0.73
Wigan
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).