Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Modena
32.0%
Draw
34.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Modena
vs
1.10
Parma
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).