Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Santander
25.8%
Draw
25.4%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Santander
vs
1.00
Eibar
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).