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AHT: 01CSV

15 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Cambridge
29.4%
Draw
37.1%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Cambridge

vs
0.99

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.7%
1-0
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).