Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.2%
Ipswich
11.8%
Draw
6.0%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Ipswich
vs
0.53
Burton
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).