Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Leeds
20.1%
Draw
7.1%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Leeds
vs
0.47
Charlton
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.9%
1-0
16.4%
3-0
11.2%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-0
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).