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AHT: 02CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
West Brom
30.2%
Draw
37.1%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

West Brom

vs
1.32

West Ham

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).