Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
St Pauli
23.2%
Draw
25.0%
Berkhamsted Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
St Pauli
vs
1.11
Berkhamsted Town
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).