Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Oviedo
28.0%
Draw
16.3%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Oviedo
vs
0.59
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
0-0
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).