Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Cadiz
29.5%
Draw
37.5%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Cadiz
vs
1.18
Almeria
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).