Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Pau FC
12.3%
Draw
15.3%
Biggleswade
Expected Goals (xG)
3.95
Pau FC
vs
2.00
Biggleswade
Markets
BTTS84.8%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.1%
Over 2.593.6%
Over 3.584.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
5.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
4.2%
5-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-3
3.6%
4-3
3.5%
5-3
2.8%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).