Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →95.3%
Bayern Munich
3.5%
Draw
1.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
4.67
Bayern Munich
vs
0.59
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.589.5%
Over 3.576.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
10.4%
5-0
9.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-1
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
1-0
2.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-2
1.7%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).