Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Cheltenham
25.4%
Draw
31.7%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Cheltenham
vs
1.16
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).