Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Stevenage
28.4%
Draw
43.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Stevenage
vs
1.13
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).