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16 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.1%
Rotherham
21.0%
Draw
69.9%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Rotherham

vs
1.96

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.3%
0-1
15.0%
0-3
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).