Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Blackpool
26.8%
Draw
47.2%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Blackpool
vs
1.60
Derby
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).