Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Mechelen
25.5%
Draw
26.7%
Cercle Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Mechelen
vs
1.15
Cercle Brugge
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).