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08 Mar 2026 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.4%
Gaziantep
30.0%
Draw
20.6%
Fatih Karagümrük

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Gaziantep

vs
1.04

Fatih Karagümrük

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).