Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Arbroath
30.9%
Draw
27.6%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Arbroath
vs
1.09
Morton
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).