Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Barnsley
18.7%
Draw
20.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Barnsley
vs
1.16
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).